Curiosity.
With a source.

Why this conversation matters

A market percentage is easy to repeat. Understanding the question, the evidence, and the conditions behind it takes more work. PredictionPodcast.com exists to make that work approachable, with useful explanations for readers who want more than a confident headline.

Our subject spans prediction market fundamentals, Polymarket and Kalshi, market-data APIs, and the growing use of language models and agents in research. The connection is a habit: state the question clearly, examine the evidence, and preserve the uncertainty that remains.

Who the reading room is for

Newcomers can begin with event contracts and a glossary. Platform readers can compare how questions are defined and resolved. Developers can explore a read-only data workflow. AI researchers can examine calibration, permissions, and the record an agent leaves behind.

You can follow these topics without opening a trading account. The site is an educational publication, not a market, brokerage, data vendor, investment adviser, or bot service.

What we publish

The Signal Journal contains long-form guides and worked examples. The podcast page organizes the broader conversation into reading tracks. Where an example is fictional, it is identified as hypothetical; it should never be mistaken for a live quote or measured performance.

We link to primary references and separate platform-specific details from general reasoning. Our editorial policy explains sourcing, revisions, independence, and how to submit a correction.

Independent by design

PredictionPodcast.com is not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi. Naming a platform identifies the subject of discussion and does not imply endorsement or a partnership. The site does not claim a predictive track record or guaranteed financial results.

Help sharpen the conversation

Send a question, a useful source, or a correction to [email protected]. If you have a perspective to contribute, explain the topic and what a reader would learn from it. We value specific, checkable contributions.