How we approach the work
Make the reasoning
easy to inspect.
Our approach to evidence, uncertainty, independence, corrections, and the dates attached to our articles.
Explain before persuading
Our guides help readers understand prediction markets and research methods. They are not individualized financial recommendations, signals to place an order, or promises of trading results. A useful article defines its question and makes its assumptions visible.
Use a checkable primary reference
Each journal article identifies one principal editorial reference. We prefer official platform documentation, original research, or a relevant institutional publication for the specific point being supported. An article’s examples and proposed workflows may be original applications of those concepts; they should not be mistaken for conclusions issued by the linked source.
Platform interfaces, fees, eligibility, and technical specifications can change. We avoid treating a snapshot as a permanent rule. Check the appropriate product documentation before relying on a current operational detail.
Separate observations from examples
Worked examples are labeled hypothetical. We do not present invented prices as live market data, simulated outcomes as actual trades, or fictional scores as measured model performance. A framework is a proposed method, not proof that it produces an advantage.
Keep uncertainty in the explanation
When the evidence supports more than one interpretation, we describe the distinction rather than collapsing it into a confident answer. Readers should be able to see which conclusion follows from the source and which part reflects a modeling or editorial choice.
Publication and revision dates
The journal uses an archive publication schedule within 2024–2026. These are assigned archive dates, not a record of when a guide first appeared online. The visible “Updated” date identifies the latest substantive editorial version. It does not claim that every external source was published or available on the archive date.
The initial guides were prepared and reviewed on September 30, 2026 (UTC). Later material changes should update the modification date while preserving the assigned archive date in the listing and feed.
Independence and affiliations
PredictionPodcast.com is independent of the platforms it covers. A platform name or reference does not imply a partnership. Any sponsored contribution or commercial relationship that is introduced should be identified where it is relevant to the reader.
Corrections and disagreements
Send factual corrections to [email protected] with the page URL and supporting evidence. An interpretation can also be challenged: explain the assumption you disagree with and how a different assumption changes the conclusion. We distinguish those discussions from factual errors.