Agentic Prediction Markets: Design a Research Agent You Can Audit
Design a research agent that preserves evidence, separates observations from inference, and lets a reviewer reconstruct every published forecast.
Read the articleThe Signal Journal / Topic
Research agents
Agentic prediction market research adds a sequence of tool calls and decisions to a model’s answer. This collection asks how that sequence can remain bounded, reviewable, and useful to an editor or analyst who did not watch the system run.
Read the agent guide for a proposed research ledger, evidence handoff, and review process. The approach treats documentation as part of the output, so missing evidence and unsuccessful steps stay visible. Use the related AI page to connect agent design with calibration and permissions. The objective is an auditable research workflow, with clear stopping conditions and a human accountable for any published conclusion.
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