The Signal Journal / Topic

Prediction bots

A prediction bot combines software behavior with a set of permissions. This reading path looks at the controls around that combination: paper trading, bounded inputs, access limits, operational records, and criteria for stopping an experiment when the evidence or system state is unreliable.

The bot guide is a framework for research and testing, not a ready-to-run trading system. Paper results can miss costs, fills, and failures that matter outside a simulation. Pair the article with the AI overview to keep forecasting evaluation separate from execution. A defensible experiment should explain both how decisions were produced and which actions the software was allowed to take.

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